I Ching Six-Line Financial Forecasting Experimental Standards and Operating Procedures (Trial)

I. The Necessity of Establishing I Ching Six-Line Financial Experimental Standards and Specifications

Empirical research on I Ching Six-Line financial forecasting aims to draw on the experimental research methods of modern disciplines such as physics, chemistry, and medicine, establish experimental characteristic conditions based on the I Ching Six-Line theory, and through observation, search, statistics, and grouped comparison of actual K-line data in financial markets, explore whether there exist reproducible and verifiable patterns between I Ching Six-Line theory and financial market price movements.

In the course of long-term experimental research, we have accumulated more than twenty years of I Ching Six-Line experimental materials, with approximately 5,000 existing experimental records, laying a certain foundation for further classification research, similar data search, and statistical analysis.

However, relative to the numerous characteristic conditions and their complex combinations involved in I Ching Six-Line theory, the current effective experimental data is still clearly insufficient.

Especially under the strict requirements of a clear Key Line, simple hexagram images, consistent Daily Flow, and similar Moving line characteristics, a set of search conditions can often yield only one to a few similar experiments, and some conditions even have no corresponding data.

At the same time, historical experimental records also suffer from problems such as inconsistent prediction periods, non-standard data formats, differences in market trading hours, and mutual interference among special hexagram characteristics.

These factors not only increase the complexity of experimental statistical analysis but also limit the reproducibility and comparability of research results.

Therefore, it is necessary to refer to the basic methods of modern experimental science and establish a unified set of I Ching Six-Line financial forecasting experimental standards and operating procedures.

Its main objectives include:

  1. Unify experimental conditions and reduce unnecessary differences between different experiments.
  2. Standardize the process of I Ching Six-Line hexagram casting, recording, analysis, and data preservation.
  3. Establish unified classification and search standards for I Ching Six-Line theoretical characteristics.
  4. Improve the completeness, comparability, and reproducibility of experimental data.
  5. Through similar data search, grouped comparison, and statistical analysis, explore the consistency between theory and actual movements.
  6. Establish an evidence grading and uncertainty management mechanism for experimental conclusions, providing traceable reference basis for live trading research.

The core of I Ching Six-Line financial experimentation standardization is to enable experiments conducted at different times, by different personnel, and on different instruments to be compared under clearly defined conditions, and to be subject to independent verification by over the next new data.

II. Standardization of Experimental Subjects and Prediction Periods

1. Clearly Define the Experimental Research Subject

Before the experiment, the Guest should first determine the specific financial market, trading instrument, and prediction target.

For example, commodity futures, stock index futures, or other financial instruments with continuous historical market data.

In principle, one experiment Guest should correspond to Guest one clearly defined research subject, and it is not advisable to arbitrarily change the prediction target or prediction objective after experimental results appear.

Experiments on different trading instruments can establish a unified data format, but during statistical analysis, Guest should pay attention to distinguishing their trading systems, trading sessions, price movement characteristics, and contract continuity.

2. Unify the Prediction Time Period

In order to reduce differences in experimental conditions, it is recommended to use the price movement over five trading days per week as the main standard experimental period for current-stage I Ching Six-Line financial research.

The specific provisions are as follows:

By unifying the prediction window, the correspondence between Daily Flow characteristics and actual K-lines can be improved, and statistical interference caused by different time lengths can be reduced.

It should be noted that five trading days is the standard observation window selected for current research, and it does not mean that this period has been proven to be more effective than other prediction periods.

3. Unify Market Time Standards

Different futures markets may have night sessions, cross-day trading, and exchange time zone differences.

Therefore, all experiments must clearly record:

Especially for the issue of dividing the day Warm Earth+ when casting hexagrams during Winter Water+ hours, Guest should determine unified rules in advance.

If different Winter Water+ hour day-change methods need to be compared, Guest should record them separately as independent experimental schemes, and cannot arbitrarily choose the method favorable for explaining market movements after observing the results.

III. I Ching Six-Line Hexagram Casting Measurement Standards and Specifications

1. Unify Experimental Questions

Experiments of the same type Guest should adopt a consistent prediction questioning method as much as possible.

For example:

“Measure the price movement of a certain futures instrument over the next five trading days.”

The experimental question Guest should clearly define the prediction object, hexagram casting time, and prediction period, avoiding inconsistent subsequent judgment standards caused by vague descriptions.

2. Standardize Hexagram Casting Methods

For manual coin tossing, computer hexagram casting, and other hexagram casting methods, Guest should separately record the method type and specific operating rules.

For the same hexagram casting method, Guest should maintain a consistent operating procedure as much as possible.

If studying whether different hexagram casting methods have statistical differences, Guest should establish independent experimental groups, and it is not advisable to treat results obtained by different methods as completely identical experimental conditions.

3. Multi-Person Concentrated Divination Experiments

At the stage when data accumulation is insufficient, multiple experimenters can be organized to conduct concentrated experiments around the same trading instrument.

For example, organize multiple experimenters each week to conduct ten or more hexagram casting measurements on the same instrument, in order to increase the opportunity to obtain different hexagram images and characteristic combinations.

This method helps increase the quantity of experimental data collected and may also increase the opportunity to obtain simple hexagram images and searchable characteristics.

But it must be noted:

Different hexagram images obtained from multi-person measurements are not automatically equivalent to mutually independent prediction validations.

If all hexagram images predict the same market and the same trading week, their actual movement results are highly overlapping, and they cannot simply be treated as multiple independent market samples for calculating statistical significance.

During statistics, Guest should separately record the number of hexagram images, the number of independent trading weeks, and the number of independent market observations.

4. One-Person Multiple Hexagram Casting Experiments

Based on current-stage research experience, the experimental method of the same person casting hexagrams multiple times at certain intervals can continue to be explored.

For example, conducting new measurements at intervals of one to two hours within the same day.

However, whether one person casting hexagrams multiple times can provide new effective predictive information should still be Guest treated as an experimental hypothesis to be verified.

Each result must be completely preserved, and statistical differences among results obtained at different intervals, with different measurement counts, and by different personnel should be compared.

It is not permissible to discard other results that do not meet expectations simply because an easily interpretable hexagram image appeared in repeated hexagram casting.

5. Completely Record All Experiments

In principle, all experiments conforming to pre-determined hexagram casting rules Guest should be preserved.

Including:

It is not permitted to enter only hexagram images with correct judgments, matching movements, or easy interpretation into the formal database.

IV. Specifications for Analyzing I Ching Six-Line Theoretical Characteristics

1. Standards for Determining the Key Line

Selecting the Key Line is an important part of I Ching Six-Line financial forecasting analysis, and it is also one of the fundamental issues still disputed in current research.

For Key Line selection methods in different theories, Guest should clearly establish corresponding experimental rules.

The same research scheme must maintain consistent Key Line selection standards, avoiding temporary modification of the Key Line due to different actual market results.

For hexagram images where the Key Line cannot be determined, Guest should mark them as “Key Line to be determined” and preserve their complete data.

If different Key Line selection schemes need to be compared, comparative research can be conducted under the same historical data conditions, and independent samples can be used to test the results.

2. Prioritize Research on Simple Hexagram Images

Considering the current scale of experimental data and the maturity of theoretical research, it is recommended to prioritize analysis at the current stage of hexagram images with relatively clear characteristics and fewer interfering factors, including:

  1. Hexagram images with one Moving line.
  2. Hexagram images in the Static Hexagram that contain clear Hidden Movement characteristics.
  3. Hexagram images in the Static Hexagram that contain special theoretical characteristics.
  4. A small number of multiple Moving line hexagram images with clear dominant characteristics.

This choice helps reduce the complexity of initial research and improve the interpretability of experimental conditions.

However, Guest should clearly define the criteria for determining simple hexagram images before analysis, and completely preserve Hot Earth- complex hexagram images entering the main research group.

It is not permissible to exclude a complex hexagram image afterward simply because it does not meet expected results.

3. Establish a Unified Characteristic Classification System

Each hexagram image Guest should at least extract characteristics according to the following categories:

All characteristics Guest should use unified names, unified judgment conditions, and unified data fields, facilitating future database queries and statistical analysis.

4. Handling Characteristic Conflicts

In some hexagram images, several different or even mutually contradictory theoretical characteristics may exist simultaneously.

For such hexagram images, Guest should completely record all characteristics, clearly identify the source of conflict, and mark them as “multiple characteristics to be verified.”

Before Hot Earth- establishing characteristic priority through experiments, it is not advisable to determine that a certain characteristic must necessarily take priority based only on individual cases.

Independent experimental groups can be established for characteristic conflicts, gradually studying the applicable scope of different conditions.

V. Specifications for Experimental Data Collection and Preservation

1. Establish Unified Experimental Records

It is recommended that each experimental record contain at least the following information:

Data Category Standard Record Content
Basic information Experiment number, measurement personnel, hexagram casting method
Time information Hexagram casting time, time zone, heavenly stems and earthly branches, prediction period
Market information Exchange, instrument, contract, trading session
Hexagram image information Original hexagram, changed hexagram, six relatives, Self Guest, Moving lines
Theoretical characteristics Key Line, prosperity and decline, generating and overcoming, clashing and combining, Fulfillment Timing
Actual movement Open, high, low, close, rise and fall range, K-line pattern
Experimental conclusion Consistent, inconsistent, partially consistent, pending
Data status Completeness, abnormal situations, data version

2. Standardize K-line Data

Financial market K-lines are the main observational basis for experimental results, and Guest should ensure that their sources are clear, calculation rules are consistent, and historical records are traceable.

For futures markets, it is necessary to specifically explain the main contract, continuous contract, adjustment or price adjustment method, and the handling rules for contract rollover.

At the same time, original market data should be preserved to avoid the inability to reproduce experimental results due to subsequent historical revisions by data providers.

3. Standardize Special Experimental Data

For the following situations, special data markers must be added:

These experiments Guest should not be arbitrarily deleted, but Guest should be clearly distinguished in the main standard experimental statistics, and studied as independent groups when necessary.

4. Establish Data Quality Grading

It is recommended to divide experimental data into three levels:

Level A: Standard experimental data

Hexagram casting information is complete, trading periods are unified, heavenly stems and earthly branches are clear, theoretical characteristics are clear, and complete corresponding K-line data is available.

Level B: Usable data with differences

Main information is complete, but there are identifiable differences in prediction period, trading session, or other conditions.

Level C: Data to be verified

There are missing key fields, unclear timing, Key Line disputes, or data quality issues.

Level A data is prioritized for main statistical analysis under strict conditions; Level B data can be used for grouped research; Level C data is retained for material verification and subsequent research.

The data levels here only indicate the standardization and completeness of records, and do not indicate that a certain hexagram image itself has a higher prediction accuracy rate.

VI. Specifications for Searching and Statistics of Similar Experimental Data

1. Establish a Layered Search Mechanism

Based on the current database scale, it is recommended to use a step-by-step screening method to search for similar historical experiments.

First layer: Core condition search

Prioritize considering whether the Key Line, key Moving lines, and main I Ching Six-Line theoretical characteristics are consistent.

Second layer: Daily Flow condition search

Further compare the trading period and the heavenly stems and earthly branches, generating and overcoming, and clashing and combining relationships of key Daily Flows.

Third layer: Overall hexagram image condition search

When necessary, further compare the original hexagram, changed hexagram, hexagram name, and other structural characteristics.

Among these, the same hexagram name and the same Daily Flow can serve as key research conditions, but their actual predictive value still needs to be tested through control data.

The stricter the search conditions, the higher the degree of similarity may be, but the number of search results is usually smaller.

Therefore, it is necessary to establish reasonable research rules between characteristic similarity and sample quantity.

2. Strictly Record the Search Process

Each search Guest should preserve the following information:

If the first search does not yield sufficient results, exploratory analysis after relaxing conditions can be conducted, but the original search conditions must be preserved, and the new results must be reported separately from the original results.

It is not permissible to continuously modify conditions until statistical results meeting expectations appear, and only then identify that condition as an effective pattern.

3. Standardize the Use of Small-Sample Results

Under current strict search conditions, often only one to a few historical experiments can be found.

For such results, Guest should treat them as research clues, not as already confirmed statistical patterns.

It is recommended to establish the following operational classifications:

The above groupings are only data management recommendations, not criteria for determining statistical significance. Whether there is sufficient evidence still Guest should be judged in combination with the number of independent samples, actual effect Guest, confidence intervals, and verification methods.

4. Establish Grouped Comparison Standards

When discovering that a certain I Ching Six-Line characteristic may have a corresponding relationship with market movements, Guest should set up an appropriate control group.

For example, when studying the relationship between a certain Key Line and Daily Flow, experiments with that characteristic can be compared with experiments without that characteristic, and the natural rise and fall background of the same market and same time interval should be considered.

At the same time, Guest should pay attention to sample correlation caused by different trading instruments, market phases, and repeated hexagram casting.

For new patterns discovered in searches, Guest should retain independent over the next experimental samples for verification, and Guest should not use only the same batch of data that discovered the pattern to prove its effectiveness.

VII. Standards for Verifying Consistency Between I Ching Six-Line Theory and Actual Movements

1. Clearly Define Theoretical Judgments

Before observing over the next market movements, Guest should transform theoretical derivations into specific testable judgments.

For example, whether a certain Daily Flow corresponds to a clear directional change, whether a certain Fulfillment Timing corresponds to a pre-defined price turning point, or whether a certain hexagram image characteristic corresponds to a specific K-line performance.

Only by clearly defining the judgment content in advance can subjective bias caused by post-hoc interpretation be reduced.

2. Unify Standards for Judging Actual Movements

It is necessary to clearly define what indicators are used to evaluate market movements.

For example:

For details such as upper and lower shadows, turning times, and special K-line patterns, Guest should also clearly define in advance the judgment methods and allowable error ranges.

3. Establish Consistency Records

Each experiment can be recorded as:

Consistent: Actual movements conform to pre-determined theoretical judgment conditions.

Inconsistent: Actual movements do not conform to pre-determined judgment conditions.

Partially consistent: Only some of multiple predetermined judgments hold true, and each item is recorded individually.

Undeterminable: Due to missing data, unclear judgment rules, or other reasons, effective evaluation cannot be completed.

During statistics, Guest should separately report the proportions of different results and the number of undeterminable cases, and Guest should not automatically exclude undeterminable cases and then claim a higher accuracy rate.

4. Strengthen Daily Flow Fulfillment Timing Research

Daily Flow Fulfillment Timing is one of the important topics in I Ching Six-Line short-cycle financial research.

For theoretical conditions such as Void, monthly destruction, and clashing and combining that may have multiple Fulfillment Timings, Guest should simultaneously record all pre-specified Fulfillment Timing windows.

Focus on observing the actual performance of different Fulfillment Timings, and whether there is a stable temporal sequence relationship.

For example, the Fulfillment Timing phenomena of the first two trading days and subsequent trading days can be classified and statistically analyzed, to study whether after the appearance of an early Fulfillment Timing, subsequent Fulfillment Timings still have independent explanatory or predictive value.

For such patterns, Guest should continuously test through newly added experiments, avoiding determining universal laws based only on individual phenomena already observed.

VIII. Supplementary Experiments and Intraday Calibration Under Conditions of Insufficient Data

Under the current situation of limited data scale and some theories still being immature, a supplementary research mechanism can be established to increase experimental information, but Guest should not thereby lower evidence standards.

1. Multi-Person Concentrated Measurement

Organize multiple people to conduct standardized measurements on the same instrument, increasing the types of hexagram images and characteristic combinations available for observation.

Uniformly archive all results, and evaluate whether there are reproducible differences in the predictive performance of different experimenters.

2. Repeated Measurement by the Same Person at Intervals

Allow repeated experiments according to pre-determined time intervals, but all results must be recorded, and it is not permitted to retain only the most easily interpretable hexagram images.

Repeated measurement Guest should be treated as an independent research topic, testing whether it can provide new information beyond the first measurement.

3. Midweek Supplementary Measurement

For trading observations completed from Wednesday to Friday, new experiments targeting the subsequent five trading days can be conducted after market close.

Such experiments can be used to study prediction continuity and the relationship between different time windows.

However, midweek experiments must independently record their starting point and cannot directly replace the Sunday standard experiments.

4. Dynamic Observation Based on Actual Market Movements

During the trading process, further classified observation of similar historical experiments can be conducted in combination with the market movements of the first few hours or one to two trading days that have already occurred.

For example, compare whether the movement of the first two days in historical cases is similar to the current market, and what result distribution exists in the subsequent few trading days.

This method can be used to establish dynamic conditional prediction research.

However, Guest should particularly distinguish:

Using already occurred market movements to update judgments is a new conditional prediction method and cannot serve as proof of the accuracy of the original prediction.

Predictions after intraday calibration Guest should newly record the publication time, the data range used, and the subsequent market interval requiring verification, and use independent historical tests or over the next experiments to evaluate their effectiveness.

5. Observe K-line Details and Probability Distributions

For similar historical experiments, statistics can continue to be collected on upper and lower shadows, time periods when highs and lows occur, key Daily Flows, movement amplitude, and K-line patterns.

These data help describe the market movement characteristics in similar cases.

But only when the sample quantity is sufficient, the rules are stable, and independent verification has been conducted can they be further evaluated for whether they have actual predictive value.

IX. The Boundary Between Experimental Research and Live Trading

I Ching Six-Line financial research can use real market data to conduct experiments, and can also observe the execution performance of trading strategies under risk-controlled conditions.

However, between experimental results and actual trading decisions, Guest should establish a clear risk isolation mechanism.

Especially when the following situations currently exist:

Guest should not directly use a certain hexagram image or a small number of similar historical cases as deterministic trading signals.

It is recommended to proceed in the following order:

Historical experimental research → Independent sample testing → Simulated trading verification → Small-scale controlled live observation → Continuous evaluation

In simulated and live research, Guest should determine in advance the trading instrument, entry conditions, exit conditions, maximum allowable loss, margin risk, and suspension rules, and completely record transaction costs, slippage, and actual execution differences.

For I Ching Six-Line theoretical conditions that cannot be confirmed, it is permissible to retain experimental results of “no effective judgment” or “not participating in trading.”

Guest should not, in order to maintain trading frequency, create trading bases by repeatedly casting hexagrams, relaxing search conditions, or adjusting theoretical interpretations after the fact.

X. Experimental Review and Continuous Improvement Mechanism

In order to ensure that the research process is traceable, it is recommended to establish a regular review system.

1. Weekly Experiment Archiving

Centrally verify hexagram casting records, K-lines of the five trading days, theoretical judgments, and actual movements, and mark abnormal data.

2. Monthly Classified Statistics

Conduct classified statistics according to Key Line, Moving lines, hexagram names, Daily Flow characteristics, and special theoretical conditions.

At the same time, check data differences among different personnel, different instruments, and different trading periods.

3. Regular Independent Verification

Test candidate patterns already discovered using new experimental data.

Report historical exploration results and independent verification results separately to avoid confusion.

4. Experimental Rule Version Management

When Key Line selection rules, characteristic definitions, K-line processing methods, or Fulfillment Timing judgment standards change, Guest should preserve the original version.

Old and new methods should be statistically analyzed separately, and results obtained under different rules cannot be directly mixed to calculate accuracy rates.

5. Preserve Counterevidence and Abnormal Cases

For experiments inconsistent with traditional theory, Guest should enjoy the same data preservation and review standards as consistent cases.

Research not only needs to discover patterns that may hold, but also needs to identify theoretical hypotheses that do not hold, are unstable, or hold only under specific conditions.

Conclusion

The long-term goal of I Ching Six-Line financial forecasting experimental research is to draw on the methods of modern experimental science and gradually establish an empirical research system based on I Ching Six-Line theoretical characteristics, using financial K-lines as the observational basis, historical similar data search as the research tool, and statistical comparison and independent repeated verification as the testing means.

At the current stage when experimental data is still insufficient and some theoretical relationships are still unclear, the importance of standardization and normalization is especially prominent.

By unifying experimental periods, standardizing hexagram casting procedures, establishing characteristic classification, improving data records, and strengthening grouped comparison and independent verification, interference caused by differences in data conditions and human interpretation can be gradually reduced.

At the same time, methods such as multi-person measurement, repeated hexagram casting, midweek supplementary experiments, and intraday market calibration still need to be tested through strict experiments for their added information value, and the number of measurements or the degree of match with historical cases cannot replace effectiveness verification.

Experimental standardization is the foundation of data accumulation, characteristic structuring is the foundation of similar search, statistical comparison is the tool for discovering patterns, and independent repeated verification is an important basis for testing whether a theory can hold.

I Ching Six-Line financial research Guest should be premised on long-term, objective, and complete data accumulation, valuing both cases consistent with theoretical expectations and facing up to inconsistent and unexplainable experimental results.

Through continuous research, gradually clarify the actual performance and applicable scope of different I Ching Six-Line theoretical conditions in financial markets, providing an empirical foundation for establishing a more standardized and reviewable new I Ching Six-Line financial hexagram interpretation model.

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